adani green share price

1. Current share-price snapshot & valuation

As of latest data:

AGEL's stock was at around ₹1,029.30 on the BSE/NSE.

Its 52-week high was ~ ₹1,733.85 and the 52-week low at around ~ ₹758.00.

From other sources: in March 2025 it was ~ ₹948 with target price ~ ₹1,304 suggesting ~ 37% upside.

The P/E ratio is pretty high (in the ~100× range) in recent data.

What this tells us: the stock has corrected significantly from its highs, yet even then the market appears to require very robust growth expectations (hence the high P/E) to justify current levels.

2. Business overview & growth story

Adani Green is among India’s largest renewable-energy companies. A few key business highlights:

AGEL is a part of the Adani Group, and is focused on solar, wind and hybrid renewable-power generation.

Latest operational capacity figures: as of June 30 2025, the company had ~15,816 MW (15.8 GW) operational capacity — a ~45% year-on-year increase.  Solar ~11,156 MW; Wind ~1,986 MW; Hybrid ~2,674 MW.

They have a huge project named the "Khavda Renewable Energy Park" in Gujarat that's being built up as one of the world's largest single-site renewable parks.

The firm has laid out a strategy to achieve ~45 GW (and potentially 50 GW) of clean-energy capacity by 2030 from a base currently. 

In brief: the growth narrative is compelling in terms of increasing demand for renewables in India, effective execution of capacity additions, and scale enabling long-term aspiration. 

3. What's propelling the share-price & probable catalysts

Below are the major drivers:

Capacity ramp-up: With AGEL increasing MWs (solar + wind + hybrid) and starting to generate sales, revenue and profit growth would follow. For instance, Q1 FY26 energy sold ~10,479 mn units (+42% YoY) which is a healthy operational metric.

Policy tailwinds: India is driving aggressively on renewables (e.g., through its National Hydrogen Mission, solar/wind targets) and AGEL benefits from this.

Cost reduces/scale economies: With the cost of solar-PV, windmills and related infrastructure continuing to decrease on a global level, entities such as AGEL should stand to gain from enhanced margins or cost of production.

Promoter/strategic support: Membership of the Adani Group allows for leverage in terms of access to land, finance and implementation ability (though carries concomitant risks as well).

Valuation recovery potential: As the share has fallen heavily from previous highs, there is upside potential if growth metrics come in as expected and risk sentiment betters.

4. Risks and things to watch

Even if there's a bullish case, there are large risks. Some of the most important ones:

High valuation risk vs. execution risk: With extremely high P/E multiples, plenty is already priced in. If capacity addition, margins or regulatory approvals go wrong, the risk of disappointment is tangible.

Regulatory & policy risk: Renewables are policy-sensitive. Tariff, subsidy, land acquisition problem, grid interconnection issues or policy change could affect outcomes.

Capital intensity/debt risks: Major expansions (such as the 30 GW Khavda project) involve significant capex. Mis-execution, delays or cost overruns might put a strain on finances. It is reported interest expense is a notable percentage of revenue in recent years.

Group/market sentiment risk: Being a constituent of a large diversified group brings group-specific risks (governance, regulatory attention, contagion). Certain investor forums put spotlight on concerns. >

"What is your take on Adani Green … Their meteoric rise from 45 to 2900 … But it has since corrected … I personally feel that a price of 1500-1600 can now be labeled as fair value.". 

Competitive/technological risk: Renewable energy is getting more competitive; cost benefits could fade away, integration into the grid is an issue.

Market/valuation risk: If overall market liquidity contracts (or interest rates go up) high-growth stocks with long pay-offs can correct.

5. Valuation & investment perspective

Gathering pieces together:

The price level (~₹1,000+ range) suggests high growth expectations.

If AGEL is able to deliver ~40-50% growth in capacity + better margins + reduction in cost of capital, the premium valuation may be vindicated.

Alternatively, if some structural shock arrives (policy reversal, execution lag, cost of finance surging), the risk could be higher considering the premium paid.

There are a few analysts who have target prices in the ~₹1,300 levels (suggesting ~30-40% upside) on the assumption that all goes well.

From a longer term perspective: With the 2030 ambition (~45-50 GW), there is runway. But the near term (next 12-24 months) will be pivotal to see if the story gets executed.

6. Do you care? For whom is AGEL a good fit?

If you are a long-term investor willing to accept execution risk and look ahead of 5-10 years, with renewable energy as a theme, then AGEL provides a high-growth exposure.

If you are a short-term trader, the stock can provide volatility opportunities, but risk of sudden movements is high (both directions).

If you are averse to risk or like steady earnings, this will not be suitable—considering execution risk, premium valuation and sector/corporate risk.

7. Conclusion

In brief:

Adani Green Energy is a ambitious, large-scale operator in India's growing renewable energy market. With its strong growth story (capacity addition, supportive policy landscape, record of execution) it is an attractive opportunity to invest in. Yet its present stock price already incorporates much of the positives—and there are substantial execution and regulatory risks.

If you think the company can execute on its 2030 ambitions, cut costs, and mitigate financing risk, then the stock has potential. But if there are snags (which are not impossible in large-scale infrastructure/plumbing projects), risk of downside is still high.

8. Last caveats

Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

Always think about your own financial condition, tolerance for risk, time horizon, and other options.

It's smart to review the complete financials, peer group comparisons, commentary from the management and changing policy/regulatory environment prior to investing.

Think about diversification (i.e., not investing a huge percentage of your portfolio in a single stock).